By Aunt Liz
If opinion polls are anything to go by, then President Uhuru Kenyatta would once again beat Raila Odinga if Kenya held its elections today.
A new survey conducted by The Star newspaper showed that Jubilee Party’s Uhuru Kenyatta would garner 48 percent of the total votes cast while NASA’s flag-bearer would trail him at 39 percent. What is interesting is that the president has commanded more popularity among women whereby 50 percent of all the female respondents said they would reelect him while only 34 percent would vote for Raila.
According to the newspaper, the poll was conducted in 28 counties, all of which were sampled from the former eight provinces. Exactly 3,430 respondents over 18 years old were interviewed through Computer Aided Telephone Interview between May 3-14, and the newspaper’s research department reckons that the poll carries a 1.7 percent margin of error with a 95 percent confidence level.
Almost of the 33 percent of the respondents who think that the IEBC will conduct a free and fair election are supporters of Uhuru, while only 15 percent of Raila’s supporters think so
A similar survey conducted by the newspaper last month put the president ahead at 49 percent and the opposition chief at 40 percent. The drop in the two presidential candidates’ votes might have resulted from the number of undecided voters, which increased by two percentage points from 10 percent to 12 percent between May and the date of the latest poll with the General Election only 41 days away.
Interestingly, almost of the 33 percent of the respondents who think that the IEBC will conduct a free and fair election are supporters of Uhuru, while only 15 percent of Raila’s supporters think so.
Some 59 percent of those interviewed would vote for the president based on his development record, while 15 percent expressed their confidence that Raila’s development agenda would salvage the country. In fact, Raila would beat Uhuru based on job creation, ensuring national cohesion and integration, and addressing the country’s insecurity at 10.5 per cent, 3.3 per cent and 2.1 percent, respectively.
The poll came just a day after the president unveiled an eight-key pillar manifesto to support his reelection bid, but NASA is expected to unveil its manifesto today, which is expected to contain the development agenda the opposition chief’s camp has in store for the country.